Current market study on wind energy:
German market threatens to collapse even more dramatically – government still indecisive
With its "Concise Analysis of the Wind Energy Market in Germany 2018", the Hamburg-based consulting firm Övermöhle Consult & Marketing (ÖCM) has published its latest projections for the development of the wind energy market.
"Following last year's record expansion in the wind energy sector, the construction of new wind turbines will decrease considerably this year. According to the concrete plans of the surveyed wind power project planners, new onshore systems generating around 4,000 megawatts (minus 25 percent) …
Next invitation to tender "Wind an Land" on 01.08.2017 with 1,000 MW – high oversubscription once again anticipated
In mid-May, the Federal Network Agency published the results of its first invitation to tender, "Wind an Land", which greatly surprised many stakeholders. Övermöhle Consult had already accurately and publically predicted the tender results back in November 2016 at the "25th Wind Power Days" held in Potsdam.
The awarded quantity of 800 MW was followed by 256 bids with a total volume of 2,137 MW, of which around 975 MW had "qualified" through presentation of certification pursuant to the Federal Emission Control Act (BImSchG). The remaining 1,160 MW was accounted for by so-called civic power companies (Bürgerenergiegesellschaften or BEG), which in line with EEG 2017 are privileged, and do not require BImSchG approval to participate in the invitation to tender.
Timely co-operations with strong partners – a successful path for small developers, even during the "turbulent times" of calls for tender
Extremely controversial discussions about EEG 2016 are currently taking place. What is certain, however, is that next year there will be calls for tenders for new wind energy projects in Germany. The emerging new frameworks are likely to have a significant impact on the established business models of small and medium-sized developers, and can even pose a threat to their very existence.
Project developers face the challenge arising from the fact that planning times for wind park projects have become considerably more prolonged in recent years, coupled with a steep rise in their own preliminary work and the external costs (e.g. expert reports, fees) that have to be outlaid in advance. This can cause considerable liquidity bottlenecks, particularly for smaller project developers. This situation will be considerably aggravated by calls for tenders, since an immediate realisation of a wind farm after the Federal Emission Control Act (BImSchG) permit has been granted is no longer assured, as used to be the case in the past. For this reason, further delays can be expected – or even a non-realisation if a contract is not awarded to the tenderer, therefore resulting in a total loss.